Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.003077 0.003312 0.003569 0.003874 0.004228 0.004632 0.005132
2024-12-15 0.002711 0.003020 0.003381 0.003841 0.004425 0.005165 0.006208
2024-12-22 0.002533 0.002899 0.003350 0.003963 0.004809 0.005999 0.007941
2024-12-29 0.002390 0.002793 0.003311 0.004054 0.005157 0.006872 0.010148
2025-01-05 0.002219 0.002630 0.003171 0.003976 0.005235 0.007350 0.011974
2025-01-12 0.002057 0.002459 0.002999 0.003823 0.005159 0.007539 0.013353
2025-01-19 0.001962 0.002370 0.002929 0.003808 0.005301 0.008161 0.016349
2025-01-26 0.001803 0.002183 0.002704 0.003529 0.004941 0.007690 0.015831
2025-02-02 0.001750 0.002137 0.002679 0.003558 0.005130 0.008423 0.020166
2025-02-09 0.001725 0.002128 0.002706 0.003674 0.005496 0.009718 0.030044
2025-02-16 0.001677 0.002084 0.002675 0.003688 0.005668 0.010620 0.042523
2025-02-23 0.001663 0.002086 0.002714 0.003826 0.006127 0.012636 0.095951
2025-03-02 0.001611 0.002034 0.002670 0.003821 0.006295 0.013975 0.280604
2025-03-09 0.001549 0.001964 0.002593 0.003746 0.006295 0.014753 4.488160
2025-03-16 0.001526 0.001950 0.002606 0.003846 0.006745 0.018003 NaN
2025-03-23 0.001500 0.001932 0.002609 0.003924 0.007173 0.022109 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001449 0.001871 0.002539 0.003848 0.007153 0.023550 NaN
2025-04-06 0.001390 0.001796 0.002439 0.003702 0.006907 0.023066 NaN
2025-04-13 0.001357 0.001761 0.002404 0.003688 0.007050 0.026105 NaN
2025-04-20 0.001284 0.001660 0.002255 0.003424 0.006395 0.021458 NaN
2025-04-27 0.001264 0.001641 0.002244 0.003452 0.006637 0.025247 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001257 0.001644 0.002271 0.003561 0.007168 0.034499 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001236 0.001623 0.002255 0.003574 0.007393 0.042121 NaN